The possibility of Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and giving up its enriched uranium and nuclear weapons programs dissipated without incident last week. President Trump declared that the U.S. was ready for a significant operation against Iran, calling it the potential “biggest attack since World War II.” He labeled this moment as Tehran’s “last chance” and warned of “decapitation” if no deal was reached. However, the Iranian leaders seemed unfazed. The follow-up from the White House seemed to lack impact, with the Iranian regime still intact and setting terms to reopen the strait.

On Saturday, Iran’s Supreme National Security Council outlined conditions to reopen the Strait, translated as:

1. No threats against Iran or disrespect to its sanctities;
2. An end to war and aggression involving Iran and its allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen, and Iraq;
3. The removal of naval blockades and withdrawal of military forces around Iran;
4. Compensations for the wars waged against Iran;
5. The end of sanctions against Iran;
6. The release of Iran’s assets without conditions.

Iran’s Major General Ahmad Vahidi openly stated that Iran would maintain its nuclear weapons program as long as the U.S. and Israel possess theirs, challenging Trump’s hard stance with no simple solution in response. Trump replied on Truth Social, demanding compensation for Americans harmed, highlighting incidents involving roadside bombs. However, this approach seemed ineffective.

Admiral Brad Cooper’s visit to Israel to consult with Israeli military officials indicated possible strategic planning rather than immediate execution. On Sunday, Trump seemed to pivot, expressing a preference to exert economic pressure on Iran rather than launching a military assault, describing Iran’s economic status as dire.

Contrary to Trump’s statement, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragh indicated communication through intermediaries, with no direct negotiations. The absence of key Trump administration officials from negotiation talks raises questions about assumptions on Iranian decision-making.

Retired U.S. Army General Jack Keane shared insights on Iran’s strategy, noting that Iran views the Strait of Hormuz as a vital asset. According to Keane, Iran believes it holds leverage over the U.S. and aims to prolong negotiations to its advantage.

The situation demands reassessment of strategies. Trump’s claims about economic and military measures are correct, yet lack the intended impact. The Iranian regime prioritizes survival over its people’s well-being. The need to reduce Iran’s sway over the Strait and regime itself becomes apparent. Change within Iran’s government is seen as beneficial for resolving conflicts in the Middle East.

Col. (Ret.) Jonathan Sweet, with 30 years in military intelligence, and Mark Toth, a writer on national security, suggest it is critical for the U.S. and Israel to refocus on targeting the Iranian regime’s power centers, particularly the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.