Yesterday was unexpected as a game between the Giants and Padres didn’t go my way. Robbie Ray delivered an impressive performance for the Padres. In sports, these moments happen, and acknowledging the opponent’s skill is essential. Today, we turn our attention to the game between the Pirates and the Reds, hoping for better results.

Pirates’ Struggle for Consistency

The Pittsburgh Pirates have experienced ups and downs this season. Unlike taking multiple steps back, their progress is steady but not exceptional. They enter today’s game with a 55-55 record, highlighting their consistent play. As the year progresses, the upcoming 52 games will determine the success of the season. Despite this, the team’s overall development is apparent, setting a foundation for future gains.

Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Paul Skenes (30) watches from the dugout in the sixth inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park in downtown Cincinnati on Thursday, Sept. 25, 2025. (Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

I’ve emphasized Pittsburgh’s need to capitalize on their current strengths. Failure to do so could lead to key players, such as today’s pitcher, Paul Skenes, considering other options. Skenes holds a 9-9 record with a 3.65 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Though this season poses a challenge, his stats remain competitive in the Majors. Recently, Skenes has faced difficulties on the road and struggled this month, yielding 17 earned runs over 27.2 innings. In two previous matchups with the Reds, he allowed five earned runs in 10 innings.

Reds’ Effort to Reclaim Momentum

The Cincinnati Reds, following a postseason run, encountered regression this season. They began with a 20-11 record in April, only to struggle since. May saw an eight-game losing streak and a 4-13 start. The second half of the season offers hope, with the Reds showing signs of recovery at 8-5 post-All-Star Break.

Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Hunter Greene (21) pitches against the Chicago Cubs in the second inning at Great American Ball Park on May 23, 2025. (Katie Stratman/Imagn Images)

Time permits a playoff push, contingent on improved pitching performances. Cincinnati’s roster includes talented pitchers capable of turning the tide. Hunter Greene, today’s starter, is a standout young pitcher. However, his recent performances have been rocky. Over 21.2 innings, he allowed 17 earned runs. Greene’s outings include two solid starts and two difficult ones, with Pirates batters hitting .200 against him in 55 at-bats.

Pitchers in Focus

Both teams feature top-tier pitchers who aspire to attain Cy Young honors. Nonetheless, consistency falters for both. Skenes experiences a tough month, while Greene’s inconsistency shows in his recent starts. Determining which version of these pitchers appears today remains uncertain.

Jake Fraley #27 and Elly De La Cruz #44 of the Cincinnati Reds celebrate after Fraley hit a home run in the second inning against the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park on June 23, 2023, in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

With the Pirates not in peak form and the Reds underperforming at home with a 24-30 record, backing either team poses a challenge. A wiser approach is betting on fewer than eight runs being scored. Both sides recognize the game’s importance, motivating both starters to strive for optimal performance. Given neither team excels against the other’s starting pitcher, opting for the under eight runs appears prudent.

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