The PGA TOUR’s 2026 FedExCup Playoffs continue at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, Missouri, for the BMW Championship. This event is crucial as the top 30 players from the FedExCup standings will move forward to compete in the TOUR Championship at East Lake next week.
Bellerive Country Club: The Course
Bellerive presents a long par-70 setup, stretching over 7,448 yards with bentgrass greens. Hosting several major championships, the most recent being the 2018 PGA Championship, won by Brooks Koepka, Bellerive offers a challenging layout. Rain is in the forecast, expected to soften the conditions, leading to a potential birdie-fest where strong driving and precise iron play will be pivotal in determining the winner.
Key Contenders and Betting Strategies
Scottie Scheffler
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler dominated last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship, finishing with an impressive eight-stroke lead. Given his current form, it’s no surprise that he is favored to win both the BMW and the upcoming TOUR Championship. Betting on Scheffler at low odds isn’t advised due to limited value.
Betting Alternatives
- Chris Gotterup: Odds are +3000 at Kalshi (0.67 units) and Top-10 with ties +189 (0.75 units).
- Hideki Matsuyama: Odds are +3000 at FanDuel (0.67 units) and Top-10 with ties +198 at Kalshi (0.75 units).
- Collin Morikawa: Odds are +3800 at DraftKings (0.53 units) and Top-10 with ties +265 at Kalshi (0.5 units).
- Michael Thorbjornsen: Odds are +5500 at BetMGM (0.36 units) and Top-10 with ties +312 (0.5 units).
Player Profiles
Chris Gotterup
Gotterup ranks second in this field for Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee over the last 24 rounds, making him a strong contender. His recent successes include winning at the John Deere Classic, and he consistently performs well across various courses.
Hideki Matsuyama
Matsuyama has impressive T7 performances and leads in birdie-or-better rate recently. His ball-striking capabilities are noteworthy, positioning him favorably at Bellerive. His odds may be undervalued given his track record.
Collin Morikawa
Morikawa’s precision in ball-striking and expertise in approach strokes make him a formidable opponent, even in a driver-friendly setting. He enjoys success on bentgrass greens, further solidifying his potential at Bellerive.
Michael Thorbjornsen
Thorbjornsen demonstrates consistency across all aspects of the game, highlighted by his recent win at the Rocket Classic. His overall game suits the Bellerive course, making him a viable long-shot betting option.
Conclusion
For the current BMW Championship, betting against Scottie Scheffler provides more promising odds, given his dominance. Players like Chris Gotterup, Hideki Matsuyama, Collin Morikawa, and Michael Thorbjornsen show potential for strong finishes. The conditions at Bellerive will favor players with sharp driving and iron skills. Stay updated with betting insights through Geoffery Clark’s sports analysis platforms.