May 24, 2026

Thunder’s Game 3 Triumph and Game 4 Predictions

The Oklahoma City Thunder showcased an outstanding performance in Game 3 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs. Despite San Antonio’s promising start with a 15-point lead, the Thunder secured a 123-108 victory. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, overcoming shooting difficulties, led the scoring with 26 points by making all 12 free throw attempts.

A significant factor in Oklahoma City’s win was the contribution of their bench and the effective control of Spurs’ Victor Wembanyama on the glass. Wembanyama completed the game with the fewest rebounds of San Antonio’s starting players, totaling only four.

The series resumes on Sunday with Oklahoma City holding a 2-1 advantage. Key considerations for Game 4 bets include:

  • San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-110) at FanDuel, risking 1.1 units.
  • Jared McCain UNDER 13.5 points (-125) at DraftKings, risking 0.63 units.
  • Victor Wembanyama OVER 13.5 rebounds (+105) at DraftKings, risking 0.5 units.

Oklahoma City faces challenges entering Game 4 with key players potentially sidelined. All-Star wing Jalen Williams, also known as J-Dub, is questionable. Additionally, they will definitely be without Ajay Mitchell, a Sixth Man of the Year finalist.

Despite these setbacks, the Thunder’s bench has been pivotal. Jaylin Williams and Jared McCain excelled in Game 3, with Williams scoring 18 points and McCain contributing 24 points.

While McCain’s impressive performance included taking more shots than any other player in Game 3, a bet on him scoring under 13.5 points is suggested. The expectation is that his usage rate will decrease, despite two missing rotation players.

Victor Wembanyama, eager to improve his performance after a disappointing Game 3, is likely to dominate in rebounds. He has surpassed 14 rebounds in over half of his playoff games this season, excluding those affected by injury or ejection.

Based on the pre-series analysis, betting on the Spurs to equalize the series and cover the -2.5 spread is advised. The belief remains that the Spurs have the edge to progress to the NBA Finals, notwithstanding Oklahoma City’s promising roster.

Final score prediction: Spurs 113, Thunder 107.

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